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  • Model experiments, intercomparisons and data evaluation are needed to quantify and help with management decisions and, ultimately, to provide scientific knowledge to improve the sustainability of the living Earth. Which interactive physical, chemical and biological processes – including the role of human activities from global to regional and at short and long timescales – are fundamental to study in order to gain a deeper understanding of the Earth System and priority areas such as vulnerability, impacts and adaptation?

    Posted on September 4th, 2009 Submitted by J.morais
    Categorized as Other Tagged as adaptation, data, Impact, knowledge gap, land-use, limits to growth, modelling, resilience, sustainable development, systems thinking, urbanization, vulnerability

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    The International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme (www.igbp.net) is embarking on a series of scientific syntheses to be completed by 2014. the initial synthesis topics, try to bring together some of the issues raised in the above question and include

    • Global limits to growth
    • Geoengineering
    • The role of changing nutrient loads in coastal zones and the open ocean in an increased CO2 world
    • Global nitrogen assessment and a future outlook
    • Earth-system resilience: Earth-system prediction
    • Earth-system impacts from changes in the cryosphere
    • Megacities and coastal zones
    • Global environmental change and sustainable development: the needs of least developed countries
    • The role of land cover and land use in modulating climate
    • Aerosols
    • Additional themes forthcoming (e.g. freshwater cycle; global to regional predictions on shorter timescales)

    The scientific effort, much along the lines of what the recent review of ICSU advised for IGBP, is open to the global change community and partner programmes and will
    - be guided by scientific excellence;
    - Identify knowledge gaps, focus future efforts, and set priorities at IGBP core project level and beyond;
    - Complement and draw from IGBP’s core projects and other global change research;
    - Frame the Earth as an integrated system strongly affected by humans;
    - Integrate the multiple stressors on the Earth system, its limits and its resilience;
    - Develop a suite of products for a range of audiences, primarily the research community to identify future priorities and policymaker to formulate policy;
    - Provide policy-relevant information and solutions on mitigation, adaptation, key uncertainties, tipping elements, integrated effects and responses in critical regions;
    - Engage with a wide range of stakeholders to assist us develop a consistent set of guidelines for the syntheses and identify key science- and policy‐relevant themes. Stakeholders include IGBP scientists and core projects, other policy‐oriented scientists, policymakers, national committees, international ICSU unions, key leaders involved in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment and other large international activities.



  • Do we have a policy for ensuring good sharing of future advances in computer modelling of complex systems – across all different areas including outside the climate change community?

    Posted on September 4th, 2009 Submitted by mick4recycle
    Categorized as Earth System, Interdisciplinary, Other Tagged as data, knowledge, modelling, policy, sharing

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    There has been an explosion in data processing since the computer – is someone keeping track of it all, so any advances made in – for example financial modelling of an economy – are known by climate researchers ASAP



 

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